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NOT DLDDW
TOT WLLDD
Last 5 league results · 40% vs 33% of points taken

Head to head

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham
5
Nottingham Forest wins
1
Draws
5
Tottenham wins
From 11 meetings on record

Expected goals (xG)

0.77 vs 0.14
Nottingham ForestTottenham
The model's expected goals, adjusted for attack/defence/form/h2h/injuries.

Fixture details

VenueCity Ground, Nottingham
Referee Craig Pawson, England
StatusFull time
Result
Full time
The final score, with the prediction we made before kickoff underneath.
Nottingham Forest
0 0
Tottenham
We predicted 1-0 WRONG RESULT
NOT LOCKED Made before lock records existed, so there's no verifiable pre-kickoff timestamp.
Outcome certainty
49.2%
Medium
ScorelineProbability
Nottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham 40.2%
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Tottenham 31.1%
Nottingham Forest 2-0 Tottenham 12.1%
Nottingham Forest 0-1 Tottenham 5.5%
Nottingham Forest 1-1 Tottenham 4.2%

In brief

Final score: Nottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham. Twelfth-placed Nottingham Forest hosted seventeenth-placed Tottenham. Nottingham Forest arrived in mixed form and Tottenham in poor form. Nottingham Forest were still looking for a first home win and Tottenham were still looking for a first away win. Tottenham were one of the league's lowest-scoring sides. Past meetings between the two had been fairly even. Tottenham had the longer injury list. The model made Nottingham Forest slight favourites and expected a tight, low-scoring game.

Written automatically from our statistics, so it updates when they do. Not betting advice.

Key factors in prediction

Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham
Attack strength
0.77 / 0.20
Defence strength
1.29 / 1.09
Form factor
0.80 / 0.75
Head-to-head
1.00 / 1.00
Injury factor
0.97 / 0.85
No units: every number compares a team with an average Premier League side, which scores 1.00. Attack is a team's scoring rate at home or away (built from goals and expected goals) against the league average, so 1.16 means 16% more than average. Defence is the same for goals conceded, turned round so higher is better. Head-to-head and injuries nudge each side's expected goals: 1.15 adds 15%, 0.85 takes 15% off, 1.00 changes nothing.

Win probability

Nottingham Forest win49%
Draw45%
Tottenham win6%

Odds comparison

NOT YET AVAILABLE
Bookmakers haven't posted prices for this match yet — they usually appear about a week before kickoff. The model prediction above isn't affected; check back closer to kickoff for the market comparison.

Injuries

PlayerTeamReason
N. SavonaNottingham ForestKnee Injury
D. KulusevskiTottenhamKnee Injury
W. OdobertTottenhamKnee Injury
X. SimonsTottenhamKnee Injury
J. MaddisonTottenhamKnock
M. MudrykTottenhamAnkle Injury
RicharlisonTottenhamTransfer negotiations

Match day

Result

Full time · prediction checked against the final score
Nottingham Forest Tottenham
Full-time score00
Model predicted10
WRONG RESULT

Expected v real goals

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 0 15 30 45 60 75 90 Minute
Lines are the model's expected goals building up the way Premier League goals arrived last season (more late in each half). Dots are the real goals.

Live match stats

StatNottingham Forest Tottenham
Shots on goal 2 0
Shots off goal 7 7
Total shots 12 11
Blocked shots 3 4
Shots inside box 5 8
Shots outside box 7 3
Fouls 22 14
Corner kicks 2 10
Offsides 2 1
Ball possession 41% 59%
Yellow cards 2 2
Red cards - -
Goalkeeper saves 0 1
Total passes 311 456
Passes accurate 239 382
Pass accuracy 77% 84%
Expected goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Goals prevented 0.01 0.01

Confirmed lineups

Nottingham Forest (3-4-2-1)
26M. SelsG
23CunhaD
31N. MilenkovicD
5MurilloD
34O. AinaM
21X. SchlagerM
24J. McAteeM
3N. WilliamsM
14D. NdoyeF
10M. Gibbs-WhiteF
19L. DelapF
Tottenham (4-2-3-1)
31A. KinskyG
23P. PorroD
6J. P. van HeckeD
37M. van de VenD
13D. UdogieD
30R. BentancurM
16S. TonaliM
17SavinhoM
8C. GallagherM
11M. TelM
22O. MarmoushF
See how we've actually done
Every prediction is locked before kickoff and checked against the final score, good weeks and bad.
See the results