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Recent form

MUN L
IPS W
Last 5 league results · 0% vs 100% of points taken

Head to head

Man United vs Ipswich Town
2
Man United wins
1
Draws
0
Ipswich Town wins
From 3 meetings on record

Expected goals (xG)

1.13 vs 0.95
Man UnitedIpswich Town
The model's expected goals, adjusted for attack/defence/form/h2h/injuries.

Fixture details

VenueOld Trafford, Manchester
Referee Craig Pawson, England
StatusFull time
Result
Full time
The final score, with the prediction we made before kickoff underneath.
Man United
5 2
Ipswich Town
We predicted 1-1 WRONG RESULT
NOT LOCKED Made before lock records existed, so there's no verifiable pre-kickoff timestamp.
Outcome certainty
39.6%
Low
ScorelineProbability
Man United 1-0 Ipswich Town 14.1%
Man United 1-1 Ipswich Town 13.4%
Man United 0-0 Ipswich Town 12.4%
Man United 0-1 Ipswich Town 11.9%
Man United 2-0 Ipswich Town 8.0%

In brief

Final score: Man United 5-2 Ipswich Town. Sixteenth-placed Man United hosted eighth-placed Ipswich Town. Man United arrived in poor form and Ipswich Town in excellent form. Man United had much the better of their earlier meetings. Both squads had similar injury lists. The model saw little between the sides and expected a tight, low-scoring game.

Written automatically from our statistics, so it updates when they do. Not betting advice.

Key factors in prediction

Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Man United vs Ipswich Town
Attack strength
0.80 / 1.07
Defence strength
0.94 / 1.07
Form factor
0.75 / 1.25
Head-to-head
1.08 / 0.92
Injury factor
0.85 / 0.91
No units: every number compares a team with an average Premier League side, which scores 1.00. Attack is a team's scoring rate at home or away (built from goals and expected goals) against the league average, so 1.16 means 16% more than average. Defence is the same for goals conceded, turned round so higher is better. Head-to-head and injuries nudge each side's expected goals: 1.15 adds 15%, 0.85 takes 15% off, 1.00 changes nothing.

Win probability

Man United win40%
Draw30%
Ipswich Town win30%

Odds comparison

NOT YET AVAILABLE
Bookmakers haven't posted prices for this match yet — they usually appear about a week before kickoff. The model prediction above isn't affected; check back closer to kickoff for the market comparison.

Injuries

PlayerTeamReason
T. HeatonManchester UnitedInjury
M. UgarteManchester UnitedKnee Injury
M. de LigtManchester UnitedBack Injury
C. BalebaManchester UnitedAnkle Injury
A. DialloManchester UnitedInjury
A. MatusiwaIpswichMuscle Injury
J. TaylorIpswichKnee Injury
J. PhilogeneIpswichAnkle Injury

Match day

Result

Full time · prediction checked against the final score
Man United Ipswich Town
Full-time score52
Model predicted11
WRONG RESULT

Expected v real goals

0 1 2 3 4 5 0 15 30 45 60 75 90 Minute Man United goal, 40'Man United goal, 56'Man United goal, 61'Man United goal, 68'Man United goal, 82' Ipswich Town goal, 29'Ipswich Town goal, 90'
Lines are the model's expected goals building up the way Premier League goals arrived last season (more late in each half). Dots are the real goals.

Live match stats

StatManchester United Ipswich
Shots on goal 12 5
Shots off goal 9 3
Total shots 33 9
Blocked shots 12 1
Shots inside box 19 6
Shots outside box 14 3
Fouls 7 12
Corner kicks 8 4
Offsides 0 1
Ball possession 60% 40%
Yellow cards 1 3
Red cards - -
Goalkeeper saves 3 7
Total passes 546 359
Passes accurate 488 299
Pass accuracy 89% 83%
Expected goals (xG) 4.57 2.01
Goals prevented 0.22 0.22

Confirmed lineups

Manchester United (4-2-3-1)
1Senne LammensG
2Diogo DalotD
5Harry MaguireD
6Lisandro MartínezD
23Luke ShawD
18Youri TielemansM
37Kobbie MainooM
19Bryan MbeumoM
8Bruno FernandesM
9Marcus RashfordM
10Matheus CunhaF
Ipswich (4-2-3-1)
37Kjell ScherpenG
26Dara O'SheaD
6Issa DiopD
24Jacob GreavesD
3Leif DavisD
23Saša LukićM
32Marcelino NúñezM
7Abdul Fatawu IssahakuM
10Julio EncisoM
38Daizen MaedaM
19EmersonnF
See how we've actually done
Every prediction is locked before kickoff and checked against the final score, good weeks and bad.
See the results