Smart stats. Honest predictions.
Mr Edge, the Edge11 robot mascot

Recent form

FUL WLLLD
CRY LLLWL
Last 5 league results · 27% vs 20% of points taken

Head to head

Fulham vs Crystal Palace
3
Fulham wins
6
Draws
8
Crystal Palace wins
From 17 meetings on record

Expected goals (xG)

1.32 vs 1.20
FulhamCrystal Palace
The model's expected goals, adjusted for attack/defence/form/h2h/injuries.

Fixture details

VenueCraven Cottage, London
Referee Samuel Barrott, England
StatusFull time
Result
Full time
The final score, with the prediction we made before kickoff underneath.
Fulham
2 3
Crystal Palace
We predicted 1-1 WRONG RESULT
NOT LOCKED Made before lock records existed, so there's no verifiable pre-kickoff timestamp.
Outcome certainty
39.6%
Low
ScorelineProbability
Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace 12.7%
Fulham 1-0 Crystal Palace 10.6%
Fulham 0-1 Crystal Palace 9.6%
Fulham 2-1 Crystal Palace 8.4%
Fulham 0-0 Crystal Palace 8.0%

In brief

Final score: Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace. Eighteenth-placed Fulham hosted sixteenth-placed Crystal Palace. Both sides arrived in poor form. Fulham had lost every home game this season and Crystal Palace had won one of their two away games. Crystal Palace had one of the league's leakiest defences. Crystal Palace had much the better of their earlier meetings. Both squads had similar injury lists. The model saw little between the sides.

Written automatically from our statistics, so it updates when they do. Not betting advice.

Key factors in prediction

Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Attack strength
0.77 / 1.06
Defence strength
0.83 / 0.56
Form factor
0.75 / 0.75
Head-to-head
0.97 / 1.03
Injury factor
0.94 / 0.88
No units: every number compares a team with an average Premier League side, which scores 1.00. Attack is a team's scoring rate at home or away (built from goals and expected goals) against the league average, so 1.16 means 16% more than average. Defence is the same for goals conceded, turned round so higher is better. Head-to-head and injuries nudge each side's expected goals: 1.15 adds 15%, 0.85 takes 15% off, 1.00 changes nothing.

Win probability

Fulham win40%
Draw27%
Crystal Palace win34%

Odds comparison

NOT YET AVAILABLE
Bookmakers haven't posted prices for this match yet — they usually appear about a week before kickoff. The model prediction above isn't affected; check back closer to kickoff for the market comparison.

Injuries

PlayerTeamReason
T. CairneyFulhamKnee Injury
L. De FougerollesFulhamInjury
J. MatetaCrystal PalaceHamstring Injury
C. RiadCrystal PalaceKnee Injury
I. SarrCrystal PalaceGroin Injury
E. NketiahCrystal PalaceInjury

Match day

Result

Full time · prediction checked against the final score
Fulham Crystal Palace
Full-time score23
Model predicted11
WRONG RESULT

Expected v real goals

0 1 2 3 0 15 30 45 60 75 90 Minute Fulham goal, 11'Fulham goal, 42' Crystal Palace goal, 35'Crystal Palace goal, 54'Crystal Palace goal, 77'
Lines are the model's expected goals building up the way Premier League goals arrived last season (more late in each half). Dots are the real goals.

Live match stats

StatFulham Crystal Palace
Shots on goal 6 5
Shots off goal 10 3
Total shots 25 10
Blocked shots 9 2
Shots inside box 22 7
Shots outside box 3 3
Fouls 6 7
Corner kicks 7 1
Offsides 1 6
Ball possession 64% 36%
Yellow cards - -
Red cards - -
Goalkeeper saves 2 5
Total passes 678 377
Passes accurate 602 297
Pass accuracy 89% 79%
Expected goals (xG) 3.14 1.97
Goals prevented -0.19 -0.19

Confirmed lineups

Fulham (4-2-3-1)
1B. LenoG
21T. CastagneD
5J. AndersenD
3C. BasseyD
33A. RobinsonD
19S. CharlesM
17A. IwobiM
14O. BobbM
24J. KingM
8C. PalaciosM
7G. GarciaF
Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1)
1D. HendersonG
26C. RichardsD
5A. DisasiD
6J. CanvotD
25A. KhalailiM
23Q. TimberM
20A. WhartonM
3T. MitchellM
18D. KamadaF
10Y. PinoF
9E. NketiahF
See how we've actually done
Every prediction is locked before kickoff and checked against the final score, good weeks and bad.
See the results