Coventry City vs Hull City AFC prediction

Recent form

COV L

HUL W

Last 5 league results · 0% vs 100% of points taken

Head to head

Coventry City vs

Hull City

Coventry City wins

Draws

Hull City wins

From 12 meetings on record

Expected goals (xG)

0.89 vs 1.10

Coventry CityHull City

The model's expected goals, adjusted for attack/defence/form/h2h/injuries.

Fixture details

Venue	Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Status	Full time

Result

Full time

The final score, with the prediction we made before kickoff underneath.

Coventry City

0 1

Hull City

We predicted 1-1 WRONG RESULT

NOT LOCKED Made before lock records existed, so there's no verifiable pre-kickoff timestamp.

Outcome certainty

40.1%

Low

Scoreline	Probability
Coventry City 0-1 Hull City	15.0%
Coventry City 0-0 Hull City	13.7%
Coventry City 1-1 Hull City	13.4%
Coventry City 1-0 Hull City	12.2%
Coventry City 0-2 Hull City	8.2%

In brief

Final score: Coventry City 0-1 Hull City. Nineteenth-placed Coventry City hosted fifth-placed Hull City. Coventry City arrived in poor form and Hull City in excellent form. Past meetings between the two had been fairly even. Hull City had the longer injury list. The model saw little between the sides and expected a tight, low-scoring game. The bookmakers gave Coventry City a better chance than the model did.

Written automatically from our statistics, so it updates when they do. Not betting advice.

Key factors in prediction

Statistics baseline: 2026 season

Coventry City vs

Hull City

Attack strength

0.80 / 1.07

Defence strength

0.83 / 1.25

Form factor

0.75 / 1.25

Head-to-head

0.99 / 1.01

Injury factor

0.85 / 0.85

No units: every number compares a team with an average Premier League side, which scores 1.00. Attack is a team's scoring rate at home or away (built from goals and expected goals) against the league average, so 1.16 means 16% more than average. Defence is the same for goals conceded, turned round so higher is better. Head-to-head and injuries nudge each side's expected goals: 1.15 adds 15%, 0.85 takes 15% off, 1.00 changes nothing.

Win probability

Coventry City win29%

Draw31%

Hull City win40%

Odds comparison — 1x2

Bookmakers

Offering 1x2

5.9%

Overround

Coventry City LOWER

Model29.2%

Market51.0%

Difference -21.8 points

Draw HIGHER

Model30.7%

Market26.8%

Difference +4.0 points

Hull City HIGHER

Model40.1%

Market22.3%

Difference +17.8 points

Where we differ from the bookmakers, they have usually been right: in our backtests, backing the outcomes our model rated higher lost money. Treat a difference as something to look into, not a bet.

Odds comparison — total goals

2.5

Goals line

Bookmakers

5.6%

Overround

Over 2.5 goalsAverage odds 1.82 LOWER

Model32.0%

Market52.1%

Difference -20.2 points

Under 2.5 goalsAverage odds 1.98 HIGHER

Model68.0%

Market47.9%

Difference +20.2 points

Injuries

Player	Team	Reason
L. Woolfenden	Coventry	Knee Injury
H. Wright	Coventry	Muscle Injury
K. Kesler-Hayden	Coventry	Muscle Injury
Y. Gboho	Coventry	Transfer negotiations
S. Mfuni	Coventry	Loan agreement
J. Eccles	Coventry	Injury
J. Butland	Hull City	Arm Injury
D. Gyabi	Hull City	Groin Injury
C. Hughes	Hull City	Groin Injury
E. Matazo	Hull City	Knee Injury
H. Morita	Hull City	Calf Injury
O. Zambrano	Hull City	Hamstring Injury
I. Ansah	Hull City	Back Injury
M. Crooks	Hull City	Muscle Injury
P. McNair	Hull City	Injury

Match day

Result

Full time · prediction checked against the final score

	Coventry City	Hull City
Full-time score	0	1
Model predicted	1	1

WRONG RESULT

Live match stats

Stat	Coventry	Hull City
Shots on goal	3	2
Shots off goal	3	3
Total shots	11	5
Blocked shots	5	0
Shots inside box	7	2
Shots outside box	4	3
Fouls	11	8
Corner kicks	6	2
Offsides	3	0
Ball possession	69%	31%
Yellow cards	1	4
Red cards	-	-
Goalkeeper saves	1	3
Total passes	571	263
Passes accurate	491	176
Pass accuracy	86%	67%
Expected goals (xG)	1.28	0.72
Goals prevented	1.29	1.29

Confirmed lineups

Coventry (4-2-3-1)

19	C. Rushworth	G
27	M. van Ewijk	D
4	B. Thomas	D
24	A. Amenda	D
3	J. Dasilva	D
8	C. Yirenkyi	M
6	M. Grimes	M
18	L. Tchaouna	M
5	J. Rudoni	M
10	E. Mason-Clark	M
14	T. Awoniyi	F

Hull City (5-4-1)

19	K. Tzolakis	G
2	L. Coyle	D
6	S. Ajayi	D
15	J. Egan	D
32	N. Mendy	D
3	R. Giles	D
10	M. Belloumi	M
27	R. Slater	M
5	H. Morita	M
21	E. Stroud	M
9	O. McBurnie	F

See how we've actually done

Every prediction is locked before kickoff and checked against the final score, good weeks and bad.

See the results