RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

Recent form

RBL LWLWL

SGE DDLWD

Last 5 league results · 40% vs 40% of points taken

Head to head

RB Leipzig vs

Frankfurt

RB Leipzig wins

Draws

Frankfurt wins

From 20 meetings on record

Expected goals (xG)

2.62 vs 1.39

RB LeipzigFrankfurt

The model's expected goals, adjusted for attack/defence/h2h/injuries.

Fixture details

Venue	Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Referee	Daniel Siebert
Status	Full time

Result

Full time

The final score, with the prediction we made before kickoff underneath.

RB Leipzig

6 0

Frankfurt

We predicted 3-1 CORRECT RESULT

LOCKED 23h 29m before kickoff · 09 Oct 2026, 18:00 BST · Bundesliga record #7 1e199c2548

Outcome certainty

63.1%

High

Scoreline	Probability
RB Leipzig 2-1 Frankfurt	8.7%
RB Leipzig 3-1 Frankfurt	7.6%
RB Leipzig 1-1 Frankfurt	7.3%
RB Leipzig 2-0 Frankfurt	6.2%
RB Leipzig 2-2 Frankfurt	6.0%

In brief

Final score: RB Leipzig 6-0 Frankfurt. Ninth-placed RB Leipzig hosted tenth-placed Frankfurt. Both sides arrived in mixed form. RB Leipzig had won every home game this season and Frankfurt were unbeaten away from home. Past meetings between the two had been fairly even. Both squads had similar injury lists. The model made RB Leipzig favourites and expected plenty of goals. The bookmakers broadly agreed with the model.

Written automatically from our statistics, so it updates when they do. Not betting advice.

Key factors in prediction

Statistics baseline: 2026 season

RB Leipzig vs

Frankfurt

Attack strength

1.12 / 1.11

Defence strength

1.16 / 0.92

Head-to-head

1.00 / 0.99

Injury factor

0.98 / 1.01

No units: every number compares a team with an average Premier League side, which scores 1.00. Attack is a team's scoring rate at home or away (built from goals and expected goals) against the league average, so 1.16 means 16% more than average. Defence is the same for goals conceded, turned round so higher is better. Head-to-head and injuries nudge each side's expected goals: 1.15 adds 15%, 0.85 takes 15% off, 1.00 changes nothing.

Win probability

RB Leipzig win63%

Draw19%

Frankfurt win18%

Odds comparison — 1x2

Bookmakers

Offering 1x2

5.9%

Overround

RB Leipzig —

Model63.1%

Market60.2%

Difference +2.9 points

Draw —

Model18.8%

Market20.0%

Difference -1.2 points

Frankfurt —

Model17.9%

Market19.8%

Difference -1.8 points

Where we differ from the bookmakers, they have usually been right: in our backtests, backing the outcomes our model rated higher lost money. Treat a difference as something to look into, not a bet.

Odds comparison — total goals

2.5

Goals line

Bookmakers

6.7%

Overround

Over 2.5 goalsAverage odds 1.28 —

Model76.2%

Market73.5%

Difference +2.7 points

Under 2.5 goalsAverage odds 3.54 —

Model23.7%

Market26.5%

Difference -2.8 points

Injuries

Player	Team	Reason
C. Baumgartner	RB Leipzig	Thigh Injury
A. Ouedraogo	RB Leipzig	Shoulder Injury
B. Gruda	RB Leipzig	Muscle Injury
R. Reitz	RB Leipzig	Muscle Injury
M. Guiu	RB Leipzig	Hamstring Injury
J. Ngankam	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamstring Injury
F. Chaibi	Eintracht Frankfurt	Lacking Match Fitness
J. Maluze	Eintracht Frankfurt	Thigh Injury
M. Pimpong	Eintracht Frankfurt	Injury

See how we've actually done

Every prediction is locked before kickoff and checked against the final score, good weeks and bad.

See the results